Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.364498 0.474774 0.594923 0.733695 0.887885 1.052491 1.240116
2025-08-10 0.210484 0.353358 0.527127 0.744707 1.002202 1.291014 1.633844
2025-08-17 0.113215 0.252910 0.442622 0.697038 1.012846 1.379408 1.826123
2025-08-24 0.051014 0.174199 0.366852 0.644978 1.006517 1.439307 1.978731
2025-08-31 0.021710 0.129326 0.325068 0.626682 1.033507 1.531952 2.163391
2025-09-07 0.008407 0.103794 0.305651 0.634036 1.089701 1.657556 2.385273
2025-09-14 0.001239 0.078454 0.279612 0.627360 1.124276 1.754105 2.570331
2025-09-21 NaN 0.055046 0.249491 0.609960 1.141293 1.826383 2.724098
2025-09-28 NaN 0.050508 0.256021 0.648680 1.234790 1.995620 2.996853
2025-10-05 NaN 0.048905 0.268441 0.696638 1.341140 2.181458 3.290362
2025-10-12 NaN 0.044783 0.273769 0.732541 1.430367 2.345217 3.556620
2025-10-19 NaN 0.046424 0.293451 0.792389 1.553668 2.553308 3.878306
2025-10-26 NaN 0.042831 0.300486 0.833788 1.655035 2.738523 4.178861
2025-11-02 NaN 0.032865 0.287472 0.840583 1.707313 2.860885 4.402656
2025-11-09 NaN 0.016653 0.244782 0.791087 1.675205 2.870546 4.483316
2025-11-16 NaN 0.005589 0.202031 0.734993 1.629526 2.859642 4.535976
2025-11-23 NaN 0.001683 0.180541 0.715487 1.636290 2.916905 4.673451
2025-11-30 NaN 0.000508 0.173286 0.723343 1.684346 3.029571 4.881566
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.159649 0.716193 1.708278 3.108973 5.046677
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.141859 0.697524 1.712853 3.161150 5.176170
2025-12-21 NaN NaN 0.150661 0.739043 1.813474 3.345680 5.477142
2025-12-28 NaN NaN 0.163691 0.790357 1.929900 3.552164 5.806757
2026-01-04 NaN NaN 0.171061 0.828702 2.025630 3.730211 6.099683